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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+35%$100 paper stake
Polymarket74¢ 100¢
Our position · YES74¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

Reported routing to newer Fable checkpoints points to late-stage deployment activity, so Anthropic’s next Mythos-class public release by September 7 is likely.

Official evidence remains cautious: Anthropic has not confirmed Fable 5.1, while its known internal Model 2 lacks an external-release plan and complete evaluations. However, several late-August reports describe newer Fable routing, unreleased identifiers, and apparent early access, consistent with deployment preparations that can quickly precede launch. Those signals make a qualifying public release likely, though the short window and absence of official materials leave meaningful uncertainty.

Points to YES

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