Will Bitcoin be at or above $78,500 on Aug 28?

ResolutionAwaiting outcome

VenueKalshi

Signal ended

Entry · YES69¢

PublishedAug 28

Aug 28 forecast

Bitcoin remained comfortably above the threshold late on August 28, so an August 28 price at or above $78,500 is likely with meaningful uncertainty.

Bitcoin was trading above $81,000 late on August 28 after staying above $80,000 throughout the listed session. Strong recent fund inflows and broad trading depth support the rally, while overbought conditions, profit-taking and repeated difficulty holding $80,000 create meaningful risk of a sharp reversal. The remaining cushion nevertheless makes a finish at or above $78,500 the more likely outcome.

Points to YES

A substantial late-day cushion above $78,500 leaves limited time for sellers to force a threshold-breaking decline.
At 21:29:25 on August 28, Bitcoin was displayed at $81,134.0, with the listed session range running from $80,161.6 to $81,134.0.
The entire listed August 28 range remained above the threshold, indicating that sellers had not yet mounted the required reversal.
The August 28 historical row listed an open of $80,255.7, a low of $80,161.6 and a high of $80,823.8.
Persistent spot-fund demand provides underlying buying support that reduces the chance of an abrupt late collapse.
On August 28, spot Bitcoin funds were reported to have accumulated about $3.3 billion during August, their strongest month of 2026 at that point.

Points to NO

Overbought sentiment and nearby supply increase the chance that profit-taking accelerates into a sharp reversal.
On August 28, Bitcoin was reported near $80,455 after a strong weekly gain, while the Fear and Greed Index stood at 82, a level historically associated with local tops.
Repeated failures to hold $80,000 show that the apparent cushion can contract quickly when sellers become active.
On August 25, Bitcoin reached $81,265 but fell as low as $78,111 as the $80,000 area proved difficult to retain as support.

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