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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+35%$100 paper stake
Polymarket74¢ 100¢
Our position · YES74¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

Newer Fable checkpoints are reportedly reaching users ahead of the deadline, so Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model release by September 7 is likely.

Reports that some traffic is already reaching newer Fable checkpoints point to launch preparation. Fable 5 was officially Mythos-class, making a Fable successor the clearest qualifying route. Yet Anthropic has not confirmed Fable 5.1, announced a date, or committed Model 2 to external release. A qualifying release is still likely, but meaningful uncertainty remains because the reported checkpoints may never receive the necessary branding or broad public access.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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