PolymarketSignal published
US Strikes Will Continue Through July End
Buy NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
24h volume $285kMarket deadline Aug 31P(YES)
Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake
Polymarket32¢ → 100¢
Our position · NO68¢ → 0¢
Signal endedJul 28
Jul 21 forecast
No general halt will be announced by July 31 because US strikes are actively escalating and Washington insists they continue until further notice.
Points to NO
- US Central Command lists active Operation Epic Fury with strikes aimed at dismantling Iranian security apparatus.Evidence
- Trump has explicitly said the prior Iran ceasefire is over and the US should finish the job.Evidence
- A senior US official quoted on July 20 said strikes will continue until the president decides otherwise.Evidence
Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.