The threshold lies inside today’s trading range and has already been crossed, so a qualifying Bitcoin close at the deadline is narrowly favored.
Bitcoin is close to the cutoff after a steep policy-driven selloff, but it has already rebounded across the threshold once today. That demonstrated recovery capacity narrowly outweighs the latest below-threshold readings, while strong volatility leaves either outcome plausible at the exact measurement time.
Points to YES
Bitcoin has already recovered across the threshold today, showing that buyers can erase a modest deficit before the specified close.
The policy-driven selloff strengthened near-term downward momentum, increasing the chance that another wave of selling carries Bitcoin below the cutoff.
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