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PolymarketSignal published

Cybersecurity Review To Delay GPT-5.6 Release Past July 8

Buy NO

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Market deadline Jul 8P(YES)
Realized · 7-day hold+72%$100 paper stake
Polymarket47¢
Our position · NO53¢ 91¢
Signal endedJul 7
Jun 30 forecast

GPT-5.6 will very likely not ship by July 8 because the U.S. government cybersecurity review will hold the release until mid-July.

Points to NO
  • Anthropic Fable 5 offline 18 days post-suspension
    Anthropic Fable 5 remained offline 18 days, June 30 2026
  • Altman projected mid-July GPT-5.6 release
    Sam Altman projected broader GPT-5.6 release mid-July 2026
    Evidence
  • OpenAI explicitly denied public waitlist plans
    OpenAI confirmed absence of public waitlist, June 30 2026
    Evidence

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