PolymarketSignal published Jul 17Q forecast updated 6d ago

No End To Iran Blockade Expected By August 15

Buy NO

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Market deadline Aug 15P(YES)

Realized · 7-day hold−1%$100 paper stake

Polymarket28¢ → 28¢

Our position · NO72¢ → 72¢

Signal endedJul 24

Jul 17 forecast

The US will very likely keep the Iranian blockade in force past August 15, since the White House and US Central Command confirmed active enforcement through July 17.

Points to NO

Active blockade enforcement confirmed July 16 with disabled vessel and redirected traffic
Evidence
No official or credible leak suggests a planned announcement; speculative posts are unverified
Evidence

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