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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+35%$100 paper stake
Polymarket74¢ 100¢
Our position · YES74¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

Hidden Fable 5.1 routing and unreleased Claude identifiers point to imminent deployment, so Anthropic’s next Mythos-class release by September 7 is likely.

Available official evidence leans against a release: Anthropic has not announced Fable 5.1, says Model 2 has no external-release plan, and still restricts Mythos 5 access. However, reports of hidden Fable 5.1 routing and unreleased Claude identifiers suggest launch preparations can advance before formal confirmation. Anthropic’s recent release cadence and the remaining window make the next Mythos-class release likely, with meaningful uncertainty about whether testing becomes public access in time.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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