Will Ethereum be at or above $2,450 on Aug 29?

ResolutionAwaiting outcome

VenueKalshi

Signal ended

Entry · NO56¢

PublishedAug 29

Aug 29 forecast

Several same-day readings were below the cutoff, and the late rebound cleared it by only cents, so Ethereum above $2,450 at the deadline is unlikely.

Ethereum's latest quote was barely above the cutoff after several readings below it and a broader pullback attributed to profit-taking. That makes an above-threshold finish unlikely but still live: recent ETF inflows and support near $2,431 could fuel another upswing, while the negligible cushion leaves the outcome vulnerable to an ordinary downtick.

Points to NO

The latest quote left almost no cushion above $2,450, making a routine downtick sufficient to put the deadline price below the cutoff.
On August 29 at 12:50 p.m. ET, Ethereum rose to $2,450.28.
A sub-threshold reading shortly before the rebound shows the move above $2,450 was not yet durable, increasing the chance that sellers regain control.
On August 29 at 15:18:40 UTC, Ethereum traded at $2,435.51 after ranging between $2,418.11 and $2,520.20 over 24 hours.
Recent profit-taking created active downward pressure, which could reappear before the deadline and erase the narrow recovery.
On August 28, Ethereum fell 2.9% to $2,438.16 amid profit-taking, with 24-hour volume reaching $17.49 billion.

Points to YES

Sustained inflows into spot Ethereum funds provide an underlying source of demand that could extend the rebound and keep the deadline price above the cutoff.
US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $234.51 million of net inflows on August 27, their ninth consecutive trading day of inflows.
Support near $2,431 has limited the pullback, keeping Ethereum close enough to the cutoff for a modest rally to secure an above-threshold finish.
On August 29, Ethereum held above support near $2,431 after retreating from resistance near $2,500.

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