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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+41%$100 paper stake
Polymarket71¢ 100¢
Our position · YES71¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 29 forecast

Reported early-access checkpoints and official references to other Mythos-class models indicate launch preparation, so a qualifying public release by the deadline is likely.

Multiple signs point to late-stage work on another Mythos-class model: unreleased checkpoint identifiers have surfaced in early access, and Anthropic has officially referenced other models in the class. Those clues make a near-term launch likely, though the case remains uncertain because reported testing was brief and limited, Anthropic has not confirmed the rumored model, and its official release notes still show no qualifying successor.

Points to YES
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