PolymarketSignal published
Machado Unlikely To Enter Venezuela Before August
Buy NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Market deadline Jul 31P(YES)
Realized · 7-day hold+15%$100 paper stake
Polymarket28¢ → 17¢
Our position · NO72¢ → 83¢
Signal endedJul 15
Jul 8 forecast
Machado is unlikely to enter Venezuela by July 31 because the joint US-Venezuelan blockade has pushed her toward a gradual return rather than a risky crossing.
No factor breakdown on this forecast.
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