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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+20%$100 paper stake
Polymarket83¢ 100¢
Our position · YES83¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Sep 1 forecast

Multiple reports describe Fable 5.1 checkpoints already reaching some users, so Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model release by September 9 is highly likely.

Several unofficial reports point to user routing, an early-access checkpoint, and a selected release candidate, all consistent with a rollout nearing completion. The evidence remains less conclusive than an official model card or announcement, and recent safety reviews could still cause delay. Even so, the convergence of late-stage deployment signs and the remaining release window makes a qualifying public launch highly likely.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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