Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenuePolymarket

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Polymarket63¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES63¢ → 0¢

Signal endedSep 4

Forecast updated

Aug 31 forecast

View growth slowed sharply after the first-day surge, so the official GTA VI Extended Look finishing below 20 million views after one week is likely.

The latest sourced count put the official upload above 14 million after two days, following a report of more than 12 million within the first day; together, those reports suggest substantial deceleration. Age restriction and widespread viewing through Netflix, Rockstar’s website, reaction streams, and reuploads reduce traffic to the only counter that matters. Record-scale showcase engagement and the franchise’s enormous audience still create meaningful uncertainty, but an official first-week total below 20 million is more likely.

Points to YES

The latest reported milestone suggests the official upload lost considerable momentum after its launch surge.
On August 30, the official YouTube video was reported to have accumulated more than 14 million views in its first two days.
The age restriction limits casual discovery and access among younger viewers on YouTube.
The official YouTube upload was age-restricted on August 28.
Full-length reuploads divert millions of potential views away from Rockstar’s resolving counter.
On August 29, a report said GameSpot, IGN, and other channels had uploaded the full Extended Look and received millions of views.

Points to NO

The exceptionally fast opening put the 20 million threshold within reach early in the window.
A report published August 30 said the video received more than 12 million YouTube views in less than 24 hours.
The presentation attracted an exceptionally large audience capable of producing a late wave of official views.
On August 27, Streams Charts recorded 3,970,738 peak concurrent viewers across reaction streams covering the presentation.

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