PolymarketSignal published
Machado Seen Staying Out Of Venezuela Through July
Buy NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Market deadline Jul 31P(YES)
Realized · 7-day hold+19%$100 paper stake
Polymarket44¢ → 34¢
Our position · NO56¢ → 66¢
Signal endedJul 6
Jun 29 forecast
María Corina Machado will very likely stay out of Venezuela through July 31 because withdrawn US logistical support leaves her facing prohibitive arrest risk.
No factor breakdown on this forecast.
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