PolymarketSignal published
Iran Airspace Seen Staying Partly Open Through July
Buy NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Market deadline Jul 31P(YES)
Realized · 7-day hold+8%$100 paper stake
Polymarket30¢ → 25¢
Our position · NO70¢ → 75¢
Signal endedJul 21
Jul 14 forecast
Iran is unlikely to fully close its airspace by July 31 because it kept the eastern Tehran flight region open even through a 140-target US strike wave.
Points to NO
- Iran absorbed 140 US strikes without general closure, July 14
- Eastern Tehran FIR maintained open above FL285, July 8Evidence
Points to YES
- US scheduled naval blockade against Iran, July 14
- Iran fired ballistic missiles at US base, July 13
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