Track record
Average paper return per signal
+34.2%
312 closed · 583 open
Win rate
79%
Total paper P/L
+$10,661
Best +614.3% · Worst −100%
Simulated paper returns do not represent actual trading and do not account for fees, liquidity, slippage, or actual fills; your results may differ.
Portfolio equity (paper)
583 open signals are members-only.Get access
312 closed · 583 open
Jul 30Win
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit14¢→100¢
P/L+614.3%
Jul 2Win
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit18¢→100¢
P/L+455.6%
Jul 30Win
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit19¢→100¢
P/L+426.3%
Jul 14Win
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit20¢→100¢
P/L+400%
Jul 29Win
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit22¢→100¢
P/L+354.5%
Jul 29Win
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit22¢→100¢
P/L+354.5%
Jul 14Win
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit27¢→100¢
P/L+270.4%
Aug 5Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit29¢→100¢
P/L+244.8%
Jul 7Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit29¢→100¢
P/L+244.8%
Aug 28Win
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit31¢→100¢
P/L+222.6%
Aug 22Win
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit36¢→100¢
P/L+177.8%
Aug 21Win
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit36¢→100¢
P/L+177.8%
Jul 15Win
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit36¢→100¢
P/L+177.8%
Jul 12Win
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit36¢→100¢
P/L+177.8%
Aug 13Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit38¢→100¢
P/L+163.2%
Jul 28Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit38¢→100¢
P/L+163.2%
Jul 15Win
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit38¢→100¢
P/L+163.2%
Aug 29Win
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit40¢→100¢
P/L+150%
Aug 29Win
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit40¢→100¢
P/L+150%
Aug 7Win
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit40¢→100¢
P/L+150%
Jul 16Win
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit40¢→100¢
P/L+150%
Jul 12Win
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit40¢→100¢
P/L+150%
Aug 28Win
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit42¢→100¢
P/L+138.1%
Aug 28Win
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit42¢→100¢
P/L+138.1%
Jul 24Win
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit42¢→100¢
P/L+138.1%
Jul 14Win
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit42¢→100¢
P/L+138.1%
Aug 3Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit42¢→100¢
P/L+138.1%
Aug 11Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit43¢→100¢
P/L+132.6%
Aug 1Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit43¢→100¢
P/L+132.6%
Jul 14Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit44¢→100¢
P/L+127.3%
Jul 12Win
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit44¢→100¢
P/L+127.3%
Jul 15Win
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit45¢→100¢
P/L+122.2%
Sep 1Win
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit46¢→100¢
P/L+117.4%
Jul 13Win
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit46¢→100¢
P/L+117.4%
Aug 30Win
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→100¢
P/L+108.3%
Jul 30Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→100¢
P/L+108.3%
Jul 29Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→100¢
P/L+108.3%
Jul 28Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→100¢
P/L+108.3%
Jul 19Win
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→100¢
P/L+108.3%
Jul 17Win
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→100¢
P/L+108.3%
Jul 14Win
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→100¢
P/L+108.3%
Sep 1Win
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit49¢→100¢
P/L+104.1%
Aug 31Win
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit50¢→100¢
P/L+100%
Jul 31Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit50¢→100¢
P/L+100%
Jul 18Win
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit50¢→100¢
P/L+100%
Jul 6Win
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit50¢→100¢
P/L+100%
Jul 14Win
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit51¢→100¢
P/L+96.1%
Aug 19Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit52¢→100¢
P/L+92.3%
Jul 21Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit52¢→100¢
P/L+92.3%
Jul 15Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit53¢→100¢
P/L+88.7%
Jun 30Win
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit53¢→100¢
P/L+88.7%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit54¢→100¢
P/L+85.2%
Jul 16Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit54¢→100¢
P/L+85.2%
Jul 15Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit54¢→100¢
P/L+85.2%
Jul 15Win
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit54¢→100¢
P/L+85.2%
Sep 1Win
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit55¢→100¢
P/L+81.8%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit55¢→100¢
P/L+81.8%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit55¢→100¢
P/L+81.8%
Jul 24Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit55¢→100¢
P/L+81.8%
Jul 20Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit55¢→100¢
P/L+81.8%
Jul 23Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→100¢
P/L+78.6%
Jul 20Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→100¢
P/L+78.6%
Jul 17Win
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→100¢
P/L+78.6%
Jul 17Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→100¢
P/L+78.6%
Jul 16Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→100¢
P/L+78.6%
Jun 29Win
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→100¢
P/L+78.6%
Aug 25Win
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit57¢→100¢
P/L+75.4%
Aug 22Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit57¢→100¢
P/L+75.4%
Aug 22Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→100¢
P/L+72.4%
Aug 22Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→100¢
P/L+72.4%
Jul 29Win
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→100¢
P/L+72.4%
Jul 29Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→100¢
P/L+72.4%
Jul 29Win
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→100¢
P/L+72.4%
Jul 13Win
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→100¢
P/L+72.4%
Jul 12Win
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→100¢
P/L+72.4%
Aug 18Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit59¢→100¢
P/L+69.5%
Aug 18Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit59¢→100¢
P/L+69.5%
Jun 29Win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit59¢→100¢
P/L+69.5%
Aug 24Win
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Aug 21Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Aug 21Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Jul 31Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Jul 23Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Jul 20Win
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Jul 17Win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Jul 14Win
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→100¢
P/L+66.7%
Sep 3Win
Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit61¢→100¢
P/L+63.9%
Sep 3Win
Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Sep 1Win
Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Sep 1Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Aug 17Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 26Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 23Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 19Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 17Win
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 13Win
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 13Win
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 13Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Jul 8Win
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→100¢
P/L+61.3%
Aug 7Win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit63¢→100¢
P/L+58.7%
Jul 19Win
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit63¢→100¢
P/L+58.7%
Aug 31Win
Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Aug 25Win
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Aug 8Win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Jul 28Win
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Jul 15Win
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Jul 15Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Jul 13Win
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Jul 13Win
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit64¢→100¢
P/L+56.3%
Aug 28Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit65¢→100¢
P/L+53.8%
Jul 16Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 21Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 21Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 16Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 13Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 9Win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 9Win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 1Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→100¢
P/L+51.5%
Aug 31Win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→100¢
P/L+47.1%
Jul 20Win
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→100¢
P/L+47.1%
Jul 12Win
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→100¢
P/L+47.1%
Jul 8Win
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→100¢
P/L+47.1%
Aug 24Win
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→100¢
P/L+47.1%
Aug 16Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→100¢
P/L+47.1%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit69¢→100¢
P/L+44.9%
Jul 1Win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit69¢→100¢
P/L+44.9%
Jul 1Win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit69¢→100¢
P/L+44.9%
Sep 2Win
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Sep 1Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Aug 28Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Aug 28Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Aug 23Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Aug 22Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Aug 7Win
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Jul 24Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Jul 18Win
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Jul 14Win
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Jul 12Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→100¢
P/L+42.9%
Aug 29Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit71¢→100¢
P/L+40.8%
Aug 28Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit71¢→100¢
P/L+40.8%
Sep 3Win
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Sep 2Win
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Aug 29Win
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Aug 29Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Aug 28Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Aug 20Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Aug 8Win
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Jul 30Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Jul 17Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Jul 8Win
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit72¢→100¢
P/L+38.9%
Aug 20Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit73¢→100¢
P/L+37%
Aug 31Win
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?
Q → NOKalshi
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 30Win
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 29Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 29Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 8Win
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 6Win
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 6Win
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 1Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Jul 19Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Jul 19Win
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Jul 18Win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Jul 14Win
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit74¢→100¢
P/L+35.1%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit75¢→100¢
P/L+33.3%
Jul 12Win
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit75¢→100¢
P/L+33.3%
Sep 8Win
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Sep 3Win
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Sep 3Win
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Sep 1Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 30Win
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 30Win
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 29Win
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 29Win
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 28Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 24Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 18Win
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Aug 13Win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Jul 31Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Jul 20Win
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Jul 19Win
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Jul 16Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→100¢
P/L+31.6%
Sep 1Win
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit77¢→100¢
P/L+29.9%
Aug 31Win
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Aug 29Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Aug 29Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Aug 24Win
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Aug 20Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Jul 14Win
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Jul 14Win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Jul 7Win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→100¢
P/L+28.2%
Aug 30Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit79¢→100¢
P/L+26.6%
Aug 29Win
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit79¢→100¢
P/L+26.6%
Aug 28Win
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit79¢→100¢
P/L+26.6%
Jul 29Win
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit79¢→100¢
P/L+26.6%
Sep 9Win
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Sep 1Win
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?
Q → NOKalshi
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Aug 31Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Aug 28Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Aug 18Win
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Aug 17Win
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Aug 17Win
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→100¢
P/L+25%
Sep 9Win
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit81¢→100¢
P/L+23.5%
Sep 1Win
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit81¢→100¢
P/L+23.5%
Sep 3Win
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Sep 1Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Sep 1Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 29Win
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 28Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 24Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 17Win
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 30Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 30Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 30Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 30Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 29Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Aug 29Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Jul 12Win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→100¢
P/L+22%
Sep 1Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit83¢→100¢
P/L+20.5%
Sep 1Win
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit83¢→100¢
P/L+20.5%
Aug 30Win
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit83¢→100¢
P/L+20.5%
Aug 29Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit83¢→100¢
P/L+20.5%
Sep 1Win
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Sep 1Win
Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Aug 31Win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Aug 22Win
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Jul 20Win
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Jul 18Win
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Jul 14Win
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Jul 13Win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→100¢
P/L+19%
Jul 20Win
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit86¢→100¢
P/L+16.3%
Jul 17Win
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit86¢→100¢
P/L+16.3%
Sep 5Loss
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit54¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 4Loss
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Onslaught Rotten Tomatoes score?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit70¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit36¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit84¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit57¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Onslaught Rotten Tomatoes score?
Q → YESKalshi
Entry → Exit70¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 3Loss
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit79¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 2Loss
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 2Loss
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 2Loss
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Sep 2Loss
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit81¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 30Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 30Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 30Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 30Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 29Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 29Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 29Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 29Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 29Loss
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit54¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 28Loss
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 28Loss
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit70¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 28Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 28Loss
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit57¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 27Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 27Loss
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit82¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 25Loss
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit52¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 23Loss
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit31¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 22Loss
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit29¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 13Loss
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit63¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 11Loss
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit58¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 10Loss
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit59¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Aug 1Loss
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit32¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 30Loss
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit83¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 30Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit45¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 28Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit44¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 24Loss
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit38¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 24Loss
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit39¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 22Loss
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit38¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 22Loss
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit38¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 21Loss
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 20Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit41¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 20Loss
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit54¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 20Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit80¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 19Loss
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit29¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 19Loss
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit57¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 18Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit68¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 18Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit83¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 17Loss
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit18¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 17Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit48¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 17Loss
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit49¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 17Loss
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit56¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 17Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit66¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 17Loss
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit78¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 16Loss
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit42¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 15Loss
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit34¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 15Loss
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit23¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 14Loss
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit36¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 14Loss
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit60¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 14Loss
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit62¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 13Loss
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit32¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 12Loss
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Q → YESPolymarket
Entry → Exit28¢→0¢
P/L−100%
Jul 12Loss
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Q → NOPolymarket
Entry → Exit76¢→0¢
P/L−100%